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coolstandings.com - Know where your
team really stands!
Your team gets off to a great start - what are the chances they hold on
and win their division?
What if there are lots of teams bunched up in the standings, fighting
for a wild card spot?
What you'd really like to know is what chance your team
has of winning its division, winning a wildcard, or just making the
playoffs
either way.
coolstandings.com calculates
exactly that, for EVERY team, EVERY day.
The following "coolstats" are updated daily:
| DIV | - % chance each team has
of winning division |
| WC | - % chance each team has
of winning a wild card |
| POFF | - % chance each team
has of making the playoffs |
A DIV of 50.0 means your team has a 50% chance of winning the
division. A
WC of 100.0 means you've got a wild card spot wrapped up. And a
POFF of 0.0 means "wait
till next year!"
How do we calculate these statistics? Basically we simulate the rest
of the season millions of times, based on every team's performance to
date and
its remaining schedule. We then look at how many "seasons" a team won
its
division or won a wildcard, and voila - we have our numbers.
The trick, of course, is to determine what chance each team has of
beating every other
team. Our method is to use simple team statistics (e.g. points for and
points against)
to predict how each team will fare against all others. For those of
you familiar with
baseball prediction, we use a variation of the Bill James "Pythagorean
Theorem" to predict results.
Daryl Morey adapted this theorem to better reflect football scores, and
we further refine
how we use the theorem. Pretty smart, huh? That's why we call this
prediction mode "Smart mode".
Another method is to simply assume that any team has a 50-50 shot of
beating any other team.
You could flip a coin to decide who would win each game. This method
isn't too realistic, but
it usually gives a particular Chicago team a better shot at the
division. For lack of a better term,
we call this prediction mode "Dumb mode".
For the playoffs, we calculate a different set of coolstats:
| WIN | - % chance team has of winning playoff game |
| WC | - % chance team has of winning wild card game |
| DIV | - % chance team has of winning divisional game |
| CONF | - % chance team has of winning conference championship |
| SB | - % chance team has of winning the Grand Finale |
For teams with a first round bye, WC is not applicable.
You can see a summary of all playoff team coolstats in our playoff picture.
If you have any questions about either the playoffs or the regular season, check our FAQ page.
So keep track of your team, and check back with us daily to see how
yesterday's scores changed
the playoff landscape!
You can follow these sports at coolstandings.com:
We also host the coolforums message boards,
where we have a daily web poll. If you'd like to sign up to receive our newsletter, you can
do so here. And RSS feeds are available if you're interested.
Have any questions? Check out our list of
frequently asked questions, or you can email us instead.
Thanks for your interest and support!
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